<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></title><description><![CDATA[My personal Substack]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png</url><title>Thinking in Trades</title><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 15:39:42 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.thinkingintrades.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Kelly Fitzsimmons]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[thinkingintradesblog@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[thinkingintradesblog@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[thinkingintradesblog@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[thinkingintradesblog@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[What Makes a Great Trade Great (Beyond Profit)]]></title><description><![CDATA[Because Some of Your Best Trades Will Be Losers and That&#8217;s the Point]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/what-makes-a-great-trade-great-beyond</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/what-makes-a-great-trade-great-beyond</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 10 Jun 2025 06:19:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let&#8217;s get this straight:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Not every winning trade is a good trade.<br>Not every losing trade is a bad trade.</strong></p></blockquote><p>That sounds counterintuitive until you realize:</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p><strong>Good trading is process-driven. Bad trading is outcome-chasing.</strong></p><p>If you judge your trades <em>only</em> by the final result, you&#8217;ll:</p><ul><li><p>Reinforce bad habits</p></li><li><p>Chase FOMO wins</p></li><li><p>Abandon great setups that simply didn&#8217;t work this time</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>Want to become a consistently great trader?<br>Then you need a new definition of a &#8220;great trade.&#8221;</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>The 5 Elements of a High-Quality Trade</strong></h2><p>Here&#8217;s the checklist real discretionary traders use&#8212;not just for review, but for <strong>self-respect</strong>:</p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 1. Context Was Clear</strong></h3><p>You understood the market environment:</p><ul><li><p>Trending vs. ranging</p></li><li><p>Session structure</p></li><li><p>Recent liquidity sweeps, reclaims, or key breaks</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>You were reacting to <strong>structure</strong>, not just a pattern.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 2. Storyline Was Sharp</strong></h3><p>You had a clear hypothesis:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Price should reject here because buyers are trapped below the POC.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>And you knew what would invalidate that idea.</p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 3. Entry Was Clean</strong></h3><p>You waited for your confirmation:</p><ul><li><p>Reclaim</p></li><li><p>Retest</p></li><li><p>Trap reversal</p></li><li><p>Shift + break</p></li></ul><p>You didn&#8217;t rush. You didn&#8217;t force.</p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 4. Risk Was Defined and Aligned</strong></h3><p>Your stop-loss made sense technically.<br>Your size respected your plan.<br>You didn&#8217;t double down on hope.</p><blockquote><p>Even if the trade failed&#8212;you managed it like a professional.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 5. Exit Followed a Process</strong></h3><p>Whether it was TP hit, partial scale, or break-even exit&#8230;<br>You had a reason. Not just a reaction.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>So&#8230; What Makes It &#8220;Great&#8221;?</strong></h2><p>A great trade:</p><ul><li><p>Aligned with your system</p></li><li><p>Made sense in context</p></li><li><p>Was executed with patience</p></li><li><p>Protected you from emotional sabotage</p></li></ul><p><strong>That&#8217;s it.<br></strong>If it made money, great.<br>If it didn&#8217;t, <strong>you still won because the process was the point.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Thought Exercise</strong></h2><blockquote><p>Look at your last 5 trades.<br>How many of them were good trades even if they lost?<br>How many were bad trades even if they won?</p></blockquote><p>That question will shape your growth more than any indicator ever will.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Next Issue:</strong></h2><p><strong>&#8220;Losing Days, Recovery Days, and The Emotional Reset Ritual&#8221;<br></strong> You&#8217;ll learn how to reset fast after bad sessions without spiraling or tilting your week.</p><p>Subscribe if this hit home.<br>Comment: What&#8217;s one losing trade you&#8217;re <em>proud</em> of recently and why?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The 5-Minute Narrative: Building Storylines Before You Trade]]></title><description><![CDATA[Why the Best Traders Think in Price &#8220;Stories,&#8221; Not Just Setups]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/the-5-minute-narrative-building-storylines</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/the-5-minute-narrative-building-storylines</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2025 07:49:56 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ever feel like the market just <strong>snapped</strong> in a direction and you were caught totally off guard?</p><p>Or you took a setup that <em>looked</em> perfect, but something about it felt off&#8230; and it was?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Here&#8217;s the problem:</p><blockquote><p>Most traders enter setups.<br><strong>Great traders enter storylines.</strong></p></blockquote><p>They don&#8217;t just see patterns.<br>They see <strong>narratives</strong>; price behavior that <em>makes sense</em> in context.</p><p>Let&#8217;s unpack this skill.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Price Always Tells a Story</strong></h2><p>At any moment, price is asking:</p><ul><li><p>&#8220;Where did we come from?&#8221;</p></li><li><p>&#8220;Who&#8217;s in control?&#8221;</p></li><li><p>&#8220;Where&#8217;s the pain?&#8221;</p></li><li><p>&#8220;What would <em>trap</em> the most traders here?&#8221;</p></li></ul><p>When you learn to answer these before you click &#8220;buy&#8221; or &#8220;sell&#8221;&#8230;<br>You stop reacting and start <strong>anticipating</strong>.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>The 5-Minute Narrative Ritual</strong></h2><p>Before every trade, ask yourself:</p><h3><strong>1. What has price been trying to do?</strong></h3><ul><li><p>Trend higher? Consolidate? Fake a breakout?</p></li></ul><h3><strong>2. Who&#8217;s likely trapped?</strong></h3><ul><li><p>Buyers stuck at highs? Sellers shorting into support?</p></li></ul><h3><strong>3. What would confirm that story?</strong></h3><ul><li><p>Liquidity sweep? Strong rejection? Reclaim of broken level?</p></li></ul><h3><strong>4. Where is the cleanest entry if that story plays out?</strong></h3><ul><li><p>At the trap edge? On the reclaim? After confirmation?</p></li></ul><h3><strong>5. Where would the story fall apart?</strong></h3><ul><li><p>What price action would prove you <em>wrong fast</em>?</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>This is how you go from pattern-chaser to price narrator.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Real-World Example</strong></h2><p>Let&#8217;s say:</p><ul><li><p>Price is chopping just below a key resistance zone (previous swing high)</p></li><li><p>Volume is drying up</p></li><li><p>You spot buyers still trying to push through</p></li></ul><p><strong>Your Narrative:</strong></p><ul><li><p>&#8220;This looks like a trap. Price is likely to spike above that resistance, trigger breakout longs, and reverse hard.&#8221;</p></li></ul><p>Now you wait:</p><ul><li><p>If the spike happens and fails &#8594; <strong>short the reversal</strong></p></li><li><p>If it breaks and holds &#8594; your story was wrong, you adapt</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>Either way, you weren&#8217;t guessing; you were reading the tape.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Why This Works</strong></h2><p>Because markets aren&#8217;t just price, they&#8217;re <strong>people.<br></strong>And stories are how people behave.</p><p>When you think in stories:</p><ul><li><p>You anticipate traps and fakeouts</p></li><li><p>You trade with clarity, not noise</p></li><li><p>You adapt when the story changes</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Try This Today</strong></h2><p>Before your next trade, <em>write out</em> the price story. One sentence.</p><p>Example:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Price swept the lows into support during NY open. If buyers reclaim the midline with strength, the trap is likely sprung and I&#8217;ll look for longs.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Keep it simple. Keep it sharp.<br>Narrative thinking = discretionary edge.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Next Issue:</strong></h2><p><strong>&#8220;What Makes a Great Trade Great (Beyond Profit)&#8221;<br></strong>We&#8217;ll break down why not all wins are good trades&#8212;and how to measure true quality.</p><p>Subscribe to get it in your inbox.<br>Comment: What&#8217;s <em>your</em> process for building pre-trade conviction?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Discipline Isn’t Suppression, It’s Design]]></title><description><![CDATA[How Pro Traders Stay Consistent Without Relying on Willpower]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/discipline-isnt-suppression-its-design</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/discipline-isnt-suppression-its-design</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2025 05:50:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you&#8217;ve ever said:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;I know my rules. I just didn&#8217;t follow them&#8230;&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>You&#8217;re not lazy.<br>You&#8217;re not broken.<br>You&#8217;re just trying to use <strong>willpower</strong> to solve a <strong>systems problem</strong>.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The best traders in the world aren&#8217;t more disciplined than you.<br>They&#8217;re just more <strong>designed</strong> than you.</p><p>Let&#8217;s break that down.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Discipline Isn&#8217;t About Trying Harder</strong></h2><p>Most traders try to brute-force consistency:</p><ul><li><p>&#8220;No more overtrading&#8221;</p></li><li><p>&#8220;Just stick to the plan.&#8221;</p></li><li><p>&#8220;Today I&#8217;m going to be patient.&#8221;</p></li></ul><p>But pressure and decision fatigue wear you down.<br>And by trade #3&#8230; discipline collapses.</p><blockquote><p>True consistency doesn&#8217;t come from suppressing impulses.<br>It comes from <strong>engineering your environment</strong> so those impulses don&#8217;t even show up.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>3 Truths of Trader Discipline</strong></h2><h3><strong>1. You&#8217;ll never be stronger than the chart.</strong></h3><p>If your screens are open in low-conviction zones, you&#8217;ll talk yourself into garbage trades.</p><h3><strong>2. You&#8217;ll never be smarter than your fear.</strong></h3><p>If you&#8217;re oversized or unprepared, panic will override any plan.</p><h3><strong>3. You&#8217;ll never be calmer than your inputs.</strong></h3><p>If your routine is chaos, your trades will be, too.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Here&#8217;s How Great Traders Design Their Discipline</strong></h2><h3><strong>1. Pre-Trade Filters</strong></h3><blockquote><p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t even <em>look</em> for setups until my conditions are present.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Examples:</p><ul><li><p>Only trading during active sessions (London, NY open)</p></li><li><p>Ignoring Mondays or news spike days</p></li><li><p>Only taking trades with 3/3 confluences.</p></li></ul><h3><strong>2. Session Design</strong></h3><blockquote><p>&#8220;The market doesn&#8217;t get my energy, my structure does.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Examples:</p><ul><li><p>2 sessions/day max (e.g. 7&#8211;10am and 1&#8211;2pm only)</p></li><li><p>Walk away after two losses.</p></li><li><p>Single setup focus per day</p></li></ul><h3><strong>3. Journaling that Rewards Process, Not Outcome</strong></h3><blockquote><p>&#8220;I grade my day by execution quality, not P&amp;L.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Daily questions:</p><ul><li><p>Did I follow my filters?</p></li><li><p>Did I size correctly?</p></li><li><p>Did I exit clean or emotionally?</p></li><li><p>What did I learn that sharpens my edge?</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h2><strong>The Takeaway</strong></h2><p>You don&#8217;t need to &#8220;get your act together.&#8221;</p><blockquote><p>You need to build a <strong>container</strong> strong enough to hold your potential.</p></blockquote><p>Design beats discipline.<br>Structure beats self-control.<br>One great trade per day, inside your lane, beats 10 frantic stabs.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Next Issue:</strong></h2><p><strong>&#8220;The 5-Minute Narrative: Building Storylines Before You Trade&#8221;<br></strong>We&#8217;ll cover how elite discretionary traders build <em>price stories</em> that help them anticipate, rather than react.</p><p>Subscribe if this hits.<br>Comment: What part of your trading routine feels <em>unstructured</em> right now?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How to Train Discretionary Intuition (Without Going Crazy)]]></title><description><![CDATA[Build Pattern Recognition, Reduce Noise, and Finally Trust Yourself]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/how-to-train-discretionary-intuition</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/how-to-train-discretionary-intuition</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 05 Jun 2025 04:26:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You hear it all the time:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Trust your gut.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>But how do you do that <strong>without overtrading, forcing setups, or chasing shadows</strong>?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>That&#8217;s the paradox of discretionary trading:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Your intuition is your edge</strong></p></li><li><p>But <strong>your emotions are your enemy.</strong></p></li><li><p>And if you confuse the two? You lose</p></li></ul><p>Let&#8217;s fix that.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>What Is &#8220;Trader Intuition&#8221; Really?</strong></h2><blockquote><p>Intuition = <em>Fast recognition based on deep, repeated exposure</em></p></blockquote><p>It&#8217;s not magic. It&#8217;s not luck. It&#8217;s not a sixth sense.</p><p>It&#8217;s this:</p><ul><li><p>You&#8217;ve seen a pattern play out 100+ times</p></li><li><p>You know how it <strong>should</strong> behave</p></li><li><p>You sense when it&#8217;s <strong>off</strong> because your brain detects subtle context shifts.</p></li></ul><p>That&#8217;s what pro traders mean when they say, &#8220;It didn&#8217;t feel right.&#8221;<br>They&#8217;re not guessing. They&#8217;re reading context in real time, <strong>without overthinking.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>How to Build It (Deliberately)</strong></h2><p>Here&#8217;s how you sharpen real trading intuition without gambling your capital or burning out:</p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 1. Review Every Trade With Narrative</strong></h3><p>Don&#8217;t just log P&amp;L.<br>Ask:</p><ul><li><p>What did I see?</p></li><li><p>What was the setup <em>telling me</em>?</p></li><li><p>Did price behave <em>as expected</em>?</p></li><li><p>Where was the market context (session, range/trend, traps)?</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>Do this weekly. Patterns emerge. Confidence builds.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 2. Use &#8220;What Should Happen Next?&#8221; Forecasting</strong></h3><p>Pull up a clean chart.<br>Ask yourself:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;If this is a real breakout, what should happen in the next 3 candles?&#8221;<br>&#8220;If this is a trap, where should the reversal flush to?&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>You&#8217;re training your brain to <strong>match expectation vs. reality</strong>, which is the core of discretion.</p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 3. Tag Your Setups by Behavior, Not Just Shape</strong></h3><p>You&#8217;re labeling setups by their <strong>behavioral context</strong>, not just structure.<br>That&#8217;s how you see what works, <strong>not what looks good in hindsight.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>&#128313; 4. Embrace &#8220;Wait Mode&#8221; as Part of Trading</strong></h3><p>Some of your best trades will come after 2&#8211;3 hours of watching and doing nothing.</p><blockquote><p>Train yourself to wait for price to &#8220;invite&#8221; you in.<br>Not beg it to move.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Try This Exercise</strong></h2><p>Choose 1 setup you trade (e.g. LVN fade, range sweep).</p><p>Then, open 20&#8211;30 past examples.<br>For each one, ask:</p><ul><li><p>What happened just before the entry?</p></li><li><p>How did price behave <em>after</em> entry?</p></li><li><p>What did the winning vs. losing versions have in common?</p></li></ul><p> That&#8217;s how you go from textbook trader to real trader.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Next Issue:</strong></h2><p><strong>&#8220;Discipline Isn&#8217;t Suppression, It&#8217;s Design&#8221;<br></strong>We&#8217;ll cover how real traders build environments and routines that enforce discipline <em>without</em> relying on willpower.</p><p>Subscribe if you&#8217;re not yet.</p><p>Comment below: What part of your trading intuition do you trust the least right now?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Setup Isn’t the Edge --> You Are]]></title><description><![CDATA[Why Some Traders Win With &#8220;Bad&#8221; Setups (And Others Lose With Great Ones)]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/the-setup-isnt-the-edge-you-are</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/the-setup-isnt-the-edge-you-are</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 04 Jun 2025 11:08:39 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We&#8217;ve all been there.</p><p>You find a clean breakout pattern.<br>The price structure looks perfect.<br>The volume confirms.<br>You take the trade&#8230;</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>&#8230;and it flops.<br>Or even worse, <strong>someone else</strong> trades the <em>same</em> setup and walks away with a 3R profit.</p><blockquote><p>What happened?</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Here&#8217;s the hard truth:</strong></h2><blockquote><p><strong>A setup is not an edge.<br>A setup is just a structure.<br>Your thinking, your process and your execution are the real edge.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Let&#8217;s break it down.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Why Great Setups Don&#8217;t Guarantee Great Trades</strong></h2><p>A+ setups can still fail because:</p><ul><li><p>The <strong>context</strong> is off (wrong session, fading momentum)</p></li><li><p>The <strong>market conditions</strong> have shifted (trap day, news spike)</p></li><li><p>The <strong>trader&#8217;s execution</strong> is sloppy (late entry, oversized risk)</p></li><li><p>The <strong>mindset</strong> is reactive (FOMO, fear, hesitation)</p></li></ul><p>On the flip side, some traders win with average setups because:</p><ul><li><p>They wait for the right moment</p></li><li><p>They manage risk with precision</p></li><li><p>They let price prove the idea before entering (confirmation).</p></li></ul><blockquote><p>Same chart. Different results.<br>Because the <strong>real variable is you.</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>The 4 Elements of a Discretionary Edge</strong></h2><p>To become the edge in your trading, focus on mastering these:</p><h3><strong>1. Pattern Memory</strong></h3><p>You&#8217;ve internalized thousands of candles, behaviors, and volume reactions.<br>You know how the market <em>should</em> behave, so you spot when it doesn&#8217;t.</p><h3><strong>2. Context Filtering</strong></h3><p>You don&#8217;t trade every setup. You trade the <em>right</em> ones in the <em>right</em> conditions.<br>(Sideways New York lunch? Pass.)</p><h3><strong>3. Execution Discipline</strong></h3><p>You size correctly. You enter where it makes sense, not where it feels good.<br>You cut fast when wrong and hold cleanly when right.</p><h3><strong>4. Emotional Distance</strong></h3><p>You&#8217;re not here to prove anything. (zero ego)<br>You&#8217;re here to play the probabilities like a pro.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Journal Prompt</strong></h2><p>Write this out after your next trade, win or lose:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;What role did </strong><em><strong>I</strong></em><strong> play in the outcome of this trade?&#8221;<br></strong> <strong>Was it truly the setup or was it something I brought (or missed) in the execution?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>This is how you turn setups into skills and skills into edge.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Next in the Series:</strong></h2><p><strong>&#8220;How to Train Discretionary Intuition (Without Going Crazy)&#8221;<br></strong>We&#8217;ll explore how to sharpen your gut <em>without</em> overtrading, second-guessing, or turning every session into therapy.</p><p>Comment or reply:<br>What setup &#8220;should&#8221; work for you, but often doesn&#8217;t?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Rules Without Rigidity: How Real Traders Think in Gray Areas]]></title><description><![CDATA[(And Why Flexibility Is Your Edge, Not Your Flaw)]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/rules-without-rigidity-how-real-traders</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/rules-without-rigidity-how-real-traders</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 03 Jun 2025 05:38:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In last week&#8217;s issue, I said something bold:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Your edge isn&#8217;t your setup. It&#8217;s your intuition.&#8221;</p></blockquote><p>Today, I want to go deeper into the <strong>mental operating system</strong> of great discretionary traders and destroy one of the biggest myths in trading:</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;You must have a strict rule-based plan to win.&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>That&#8217;s partly true. But also dangerously incomplete.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>The Myth of Certainty</strong></h2><p>Most traders crave certainty. They think the secret is:</p><ul><li><p>One perfect entry rule</p></li><li><p>One magic indicator combo</p></li><li><p>One checklist that never fails</p></li></ul><p>But markets <strong>aren&#8217;t predictable. They&#8217;re probabilistic.<br></strong>They don&#8217;t reward rigidity, they punish it.</p><p>This is why the very best discretionary traders do something different:</p><blockquote><p><strong>They use rules as a base but allow judgment to adapt in real time.</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>What &#8220;Flexible Structure&#8221; Actually Looks Like</strong></h2><p>Great traders don&#8217;t wing it.<br>But they <strong>also don&#8217;t follow their plan blindly.</strong></p><p>They ask:</p><ul><li><p>Is today a breakout day or a trap day?</p></li><li><p>Is this candle confirming strength or showing absorption?</p></li><li><p>Does this volume behavior align with my bias or contradict it?</p></li></ul><p>They know:</p><ul><li><p>Sometimes a setup needs extra confirmation</p></li><li><p>Sometimes, a textbook pattern is a trap</p></li><li><p>Sometimes the best trade is no trade at all.</p></li></ul><p>This isn&#8217;t &#8220;intuition.&#8221; It&#8217;s <strong>informed discretion.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Here&#8217;s the Key Distinction:</strong></h2><p><strong>Bad Trading = </strong>Emotional gut calls, Blind faith in rules, Overreacting to setups, and Trading what you want to see.</p><p><strong>Elite Discretionary Trading = </strong>Pattern-based judgment, Rules + real-time adaptation, Contextual filtering, and Waiting for the market to show you.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>&#128736;&#65039; A Practice to Sharpen Your Discretion</strong></h2><p>Before your next trade, pause and ask:</p><blockquote><p><strong>&#8220;If this setup works, what </strong><em><strong>should</strong></em><strong> price do next?&#8221;<br></strong> <strong>&#8220;If it doesn&#8217;t behave that way am I willing to let it go?&#8221;</strong></p></blockquote><p>This is how you start thinking like a pro:<br>You observe, hypothesize, test in real time, and let the market confirm your story.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>&#127919; In the Next Issue:</strong></h2><p><strong>&#8220;The Setup Isn&#8217;t the Edge, You Are.&#8221;<br></strong>We&#8217;ll break down why even the best setups fail for some traders and how to build conviction without overconfidence.<br> Comment or reply: <em>When do you tend to overtrust your rules, and what happens when you do?</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Why Most Traders Never Build Real Intuition ]]></title><description><![CDATA[(And What You Can Do Differently Starting Today)]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/why-most-traders-never-build-real</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/why-most-traders-never-build-real</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 02 Jun 2025 07:01:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Welcome to Thinking in Trades</strong>, a space for traders who want to think with clarity, risk better, and win more by trading like real professionals, not random button-pushers.</p><p>Let&#8217;s start with a brutal truth:</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><blockquote><p><strong>Most traders think they need a better setup. What they really need is better intuition.</strong></p></blockquote><p>Not gut feeling. Not luck.<br>I mean <strong>accurate market intuition</strong>, the ability to read context, spot traps, and execute with clarity when others hesitate.</p><p>But here&#8217;s the problem:<br><strong>You can&#8217;t download intuition. You have to build it.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Why System-Based Trading Isn&#8217;t Enough</strong></h2><p>There are two paths in trading:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Systematic:</strong> Pre-defined, rules-based</p></li><li><p><strong>Discretionary:</strong> Contextual, decision-based</p></li></ul><p>The internet loves the first one because it feels safe. But most elite traders I&#8217;ve studied or worked with? They&#8217;re <strong>discretionary at heart.</strong></p><p>They use structure, but trust their experience.<br>They study patterns, but wait for confluence.<br>They don&#8217;t rely on lagging indicators; they follow <strong>price behavior, volume, and time.</strong></p><p>And most importantly:<br>They&#8217;ve trained their minds to think in terms of probabilities, not predictions.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>So Why Don&#8217;t More Traders Go Discretionary?</strong></h2><p>Because it&#8217;s harder.<br>You can&#8217;t blame the system anymore.<br>It forces you to <strong>confront your biases, your overtrading, and your emotional triggers.</strong></p><p>But if you&#8217;re willing to do that?</p><p>You get something no indicator will ever give you:</p><blockquote><p><strong>Confidence that lives inside you not your tools.</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong>What This Mini Discretionary Trader Series Is About</strong></h2><p><strong>Thinking in Trades</strong> will teach you to:</p><ul><li><p>Build your discretionary playbook</p></li><li><p>Strengthen your mental edge</p></li><li><p>Read volume and price like institutions</p></li><li><p>Recover from losses faster</p></li><li><p>And ultimately, scale like a real pro, funded or private</p></li></ul><p>I&#8217;ll share frameworks, mental models, routines, and trade breakdowns from a discretionary lens so you can think sharper, risk cleaner, and finally trust your edge.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Call to Action</strong></h2><p><strong>Next issue:</strong> <em>&#8220;Rules Without Rigidity: How Real Traders Think in Gray Areas&#8221;</em></p><p>Subscribe to get it straight in your inbox. If you find this valuable, share it with a trader friend.</p><p>And let me ask you:<br><strong>What&#8217;s the one thing that kills your trading intuition the fastest?<br>Please </strong>hit reply or comment, I&#8217;d love to hear your take.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What Will the Month of June Bring?]]></title><description><![CDATA[When I look at the Solana charts, I feel that this rally, which started on April 7th, is eerily similar to the last rally of the 2021 bull run.]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/what-will-the-month-of-june-bring</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/what-will-the-month-of-june-bring</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 01 Jun 2025 10:12:25 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OP2p!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5729190-731e-4e0c-85ad-6f0824caa1ce_1880x1382.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When I look at the Solana charts, I feel that this rally, which started on April 7th, is eerily similar to the last rally of the 2021 bull run.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OP2p!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5729190-731e-4e0c-85ad-6f0824caa1ce_1880x1382.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OP2p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5729190-731e-4e0c-85ad-6f0824caa1ce_1880x1382.png" width="1456" height="1070" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OP2p!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5729190-731e-4e0c-85ad-6f0824caa1ce_1880x1382.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OP2p!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5729190-731e-4e0c-85ad-6f0824caa1ce_1880x1382.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OP2p!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5729190-731e-4e0c-85ad-6f0824caa1ce_1880x1382.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OP2p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe5729190-731e-4e0c-85ad-6f0824caa1ce_1880x1382.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Was this rally a dead cat bounce?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>If I had to place a bet on it right now, without any further information, I&#8217;d lean towards dead cat bounce, and we move lower from here.</p><p>We can&#8217;t predict the future, but we will have a plan for both scenarios, whether the outcome is up or down.</p><p>For now, we will monitor the broader stock market, bond markets, tariffs, and geopolitical news.</p><p>If the broader market dumps, expect BTC and Solana to experience a significant decline.</p><h2>Key Levels I&#8217;m Watching</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png" width="1456" height="1129" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1129,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:327915,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/i/164925234?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!w5fY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7656b821-5441-4e67-8a77-a9aad503688e_1886x1462.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>For now, I&#8217;m sidelined.</p><p>I&#8217;m comfortable waiting, watching, and reacting to new information.</p><p>The key level I&#8217;m watching is Solana @ $141. </p><p>This should be a significant support level at which I will consider opening a LONG position.</p><p>Not Financial Advice!</p><p></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p 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Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Coming soon]]></title><description><![CDATA[This is Thinking in Trades.]]></description><link>https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/coming-soon</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thinkingintrades.com/p/coming-soon</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Thinking in Trades]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 22 May 2025 06:47:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ls6z!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc32be464-a2f3-4cbd-9fce-43cdc72e43f8_144x144.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is Thinking in Trades.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.thinkingintrades.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>